Posts Tagged ‘Bird Flu’

Two Visiting Scientists’ thoughts on Bird Flu

February 8, 2008

I had two clients stop in last week and both of them were scientists, one from Greece and the other one from Bolivia.  I asked them if they were familiar with the H5N1 virus. Both of these ladies were a bit shocked when their psychic started talking to them about the H5N1. I simply pointed to my wall full of degrees and said I am a lot more then just a fortune tellerJ  They both started to laugh and that is when they really opened up.

We got into a deep discussion about this bird flu virus.   These two women are specialists on insect bugs and the spread of their illnesses. One of them is working on Dengue fever and monitoring its spread.  She told me that the H5N1 is a considerable risk to the general population. It is an even greater risk since people are so unaware of it.  We got into a lot of the scientific applications of the bird flu illness. She said the people that she works with believe it will just jump, fast and unexpectedly.  I have to agree with this assessment as I believe it will just start and there will be no stopping it when it does.   

The scientist from Greece showed genuine concern over the H5N1.  She told me that she is going back to her country soon. She wants to try and raise alert levels there with the people.  The Dengue Hemorrhagic form is her specialty. She thinks people need to know it is out of control right now. But she also wants her people to know about the bird flu and its possibilities.   She considers H5N1 as one of the greatest risks to humanity along with global warming.   

The Bolivia scientist shared her belief with me that when this bird flu does strike, it shall be so sudden that it will take the world by storm.  She believes it is being down played, people are no where near prepared and it will be a nightmare out there.  Upon returning back to her home country, she is going to let people there know about the bird flu and how to prepare for it.   

We discussed the mutation of the virus, the possibility of treating the ground with some form of chemical inhibitor that may stop the virus at places birds meet, the over use of Tamiflu and the fact that this H5N1 virus is becoming drug resistant.  We also had a discussion about the survivors from the Spanish pandemic in 1918 and subsequent pandemics.  The one in the 1950’s was also a form of avian flu. Because of this, we all agreed that some of the people who survived that one may also survive this upcoming one. They may have more resistance even though the viruses are very different.   There is a genetic code where some people are immune to these types of illnesses since they do not have the proper receptors for the bird flu virus to connect to their cells.  Both of these scientists seemed very concerned about this H5N1 virus. They want to raise the level of people’s awareness and its implications.  They both believe that the possible risks are not being presented properly to the public. They stressed this over and over again.   

After hours of discussions, we reached the conclusions that people are in the dark, are not being properly informed, that this bird flu virus is very real and it is not going away any time soon.  Trying to fight it with everything we have is a good preventative measure which gives people time to prepare.  As they left, they both gave me a hug and told me I am in the wrong business. They even asked me to consider stepping up into their world of science.  I said, “Nope, I like meeting people like you so I will stay right where I am. Besides I don’t like bugs.”  lol.   

Thoughts on Bird Flu

December 19, 2007

After having a rather nasty dream about Bird Flu, I woke up this morning feeling very unsettled.  Is it just me or is there actually more human to human transmissions going on? 

I am concerned and thinking about the clusters in Pakistan, China, Indonesia and other places.  I have to ask myself how much of this is going to be covered up?  Now we know that when there was human to human transmission before, it was covered up for almost a year.  So should things be different now?  I don’t think so.   

My dream was harsh, so harsh that I will not write about it but I knew when awakened this morning that H5N1 is on the move and no matter what we do we will not be able to stop it.  Can it be stalled for a bit ?  Yes, stop it? NO.  I also know it is mutating once again and getting easier to spread to humans.  Are we losing the battle here against bird flu?  Unfortunately, yes we are.   

I know there are surges in winter and that the death rate is claimed to be lower this year but I’m sorry, I do not hold any faith in the numbers being touted out there.  Too many people were buried before ever being tested. Too many people were not diagnosed with H5N1 though died from high fevers etc without the “OFFICIAL” notification of it being bird flu so these people cannot be on the list.  What is the real number of human deaths from bird flu? Who knows as we are being given the numbers to keep the count low and no one who dies from H5N1 or dies being suspected of it can be on the list as it is not “CONFIRMED.”  Should we believe the list? No and we should also not believe the current death rate of around 60 percent since it is probably higher.  Take 2007 with 77 confirmed cases and 51 deaths being reported.  Take 51 and divide it by 77 it equals to: 66 percent.  In 2006 there were 115 cases with 79 deaths which makes it 68.6 percent.  If you take Indonesia, the hardest hit country with 115 reported cases and 93 confirmed deaths, the calculated death rate is 80 percent.  Not pretty numbers.

 With the increased numbers of human clusters, sources being harder to track where the H5N1 came from and more human to human transmission of the illness, I believe that the current phase of pandemic should be raised to a level 4. But then again what do I know. Here I have resigned myself to the fact that the avian flu pandemic is going to happen.  I will watch the bloggers and science sites for information since they seem to be the most reliable sources for info out there.  Why are they reliable? Because they care and really want to help people to prepare for the H5N1 pandemic in order to save lives.  There is nothing else in it for them. I personally applaud them for their time, effort, honesty and endurance.